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Gold Drops 1.1% Amid Fed Watch and 86% Bet on December Rate Hike

Gold futures dropped $45.20 to $4,015.20 per ounce, and gold on the MCX exchange fell 1.9%, as markets priced in an 86% probability of a U.S. interest rate hike in December.

October 24, 2026
Gold Drops 1.1% Amid Fed Watch and 86% Bet on December Rate Hike

Gold futures fell $45.20, or 1.11%, to $4,015.20 per ounce, while gold on India's MCX exchange closed down 1.9% at 143,309 rupees, according to Investing.com citing Kedia Advisory.

Silver futures dropped 1.59% to $54.13 per ounce, as inflation concerns stemming from rising oil prices intensified ahead of the U.S. monetary policy decision.

Traders priced in an 86% probability of a rate hike in December, while Goldman Sachs expects a 25 basis point increase. Net speculative long positions on the COMEX fell by 3,741 contracts to 111,079 in the week ended October 13.

In India, local price premiums reached up to $7 per ounce, while China's central bank extended its buying streak for the twenty-third consecutive month.

What Do These Terms Mean?

Futures Contracts: An agreement to buy or sell an asset at a specified price today for delivery at a later date, used for hedging or speculation.

Basis Point: A unit of measure for interest rate changes, where 100 basis points equal 1%, so 25 basis points represent a quarter of a percentage point.

Net Long Positions: The difference between buy (long) contracts and sell (short) contracts held by speculators, monitored as an indicator of trading trends.

Price Premium: The difference between the metal's local price and global price, reflecting the supply and demand balance in the domestic market.

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